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Authors

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Keywords:

неопределенность, растениеводство, распределение вероятности, маржинальный доход, модель

Abstract

Survey data and the conditions of economic activity that occurred in the past, cannot directly be used to generate solutions for management problems in the future. This is due to such a fundamental feature in the development of economic systems, as the impossibility of exact recurrence of the events that took place in the past. We need to adjust the original data for inflation, trend, expected changes in economic activity. Proposed methods seem to be good for reconstruction of the original data matrix with use of expert assessments about the future states of the system. At the same time, the methods allow to preserve the stochastic
interdependencies in the original data matrix. The reconstructed data matrix can then be used in economic analysis and decision making.

Published

2021-08-17